Quiet Pulse Morning Desk Nov 9 2026

Tropical: None · Severe: None · Flood: Slight

What Changed

Compared with the afternoon desk pulse table (quiet-pulse-2026-11-09-afternoon: Tropical: None · Severe: None · Flood: Slight): Latest SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook (0100 UTC Nov 10 / 0635 PM CST Mon Nov 09 2026 by Mead, valid 100100Z–101200Z) continues NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST. Summary: Severe thunderstorms are unlikely through tonight. Pacific Northwest shortwave supports sporadic lightning with MUCAPE a few hundred J/kg; a few strong gusts possible but severe not expected. Deep South Texas to middle Texas Coast: elevated thunderstorms possible on marginal instability; most vigorous convection offshore SE of Brownsville. No watches or mesoscale discussions valid. Zero significant LSRs elevating the severe lane.
WPC Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook (updated 1602 UTC / ~11:02 AM EST Mon Nov 09 2026 by Miller, valid 16Z Nov 09–12Z Nov 10) maintains a Slight Risk across portions of far southeastern Texas. Additional rain on highly saturated soils (prior 4–10 inches near Kingsville/lower RGV; SPoRT soil moisture >95th percentile) supports isolated to scattered flash flood threat into early afternoon, waning later as pattern degrades. No Moderate or higher.
NWS products: Residual Flood Warnings and Advisories in South Texas on saturated ground (including areas near Corpus Christi and lower Rio Grande Valley). Ongoing Flood Warnings in Florida (St. Johns/Peace River systems) and Arizona. Blizzard Warning continues for Thompson Pass, AK (heavy snow, gusts to 45 mph, visibility to 1/4 mile). Routine winter, freeze, frost, and marine products (Arctic gales, freezing spray) elsewhere. None elevate national lanes above Quiet Pulse thresholds.
Tropical lane remains None. National Hurricane Center: no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, or Gulf of America. Formation not expected during the next 7 days. No U.S. coastal or Gulf watches or warnings. Tropical Storm Pena remains in the Central Pacific (well south of Hawaii) with no threat to the mainland U.S. or Gulf.
Quiet Pulse criteria continue to hold: nothing at SPC Slight or above, no WPC ERO Moderate or above, no tropical storm or hurricane watch or warning on the U.S. coast or Gulf. Nothing material moved from the afternoon pulse table.

Live Status

As of the morning desk update on Monday, November 9, 2026 (approximately 9:16 PM PST / 05:16 UTC November 10), the national picture remains a Quiet Pulse. The Storm Prediction Center’s latest Day 1 Convective Outlook (0100 UTC Nov 10) states: “NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST. Severe thunderstorms are unlikely through tonight.” Residual heavy rain and flash flood potential is confined to far southeastern Texas under a WPC Slight Risk on already saturated soils from multi-day rainfall. National Weather Service products include residual flood products in South Texas, Florida, and Arizona, a Blizzard Warning in Alaska, and routine winter/freeze/marine advisories. None elevate the national severe or flood lanes above Quiet Pulse thresholds. The active restoration ticket is residual water on saturated ground in South Texas, not organized severe weather or tropical impact. SPC storm reports show no tornado, hail, or wind reports elevating the severe lane for the day.

Pulse Table

Lane	Status	Notes (as of ~9:16 PM PST Nov 9 / 05:16 UTC Nov 10 2026)
Tropical	None	No tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, or Gulf. Formation not expected next 7 days. TS Pena (CPAC) no U.S. mainland or Gulf threat. No U.S. coastal or Gulf watches or warnings.
Severe	None	SPC Day 1 (0100Z Nov 10): No severe thunderstorm areas forecast. Sporadic lightning possible PNW; elevated storms possible south TX. No watches valid. No significant LSRs.
Flood	Slight	WPC Day 1 Slight Risk far southeastern Texas. Residual convection on saturated soils from prior heavy rain. Isolated-scattered flash flood threat into early afternoon; waning later. Residual Flood Warnings in TX/FL/AZ. No Moderate or higher.

Rising queries

Trends unreachable.

What This Is Not

This is a Quiet Pulse. No SPC Slight or higher severe risk on the latest Day 1 outlook. WPC holds only a Slight Risk residual flood threat in far southeastern Texas. No tropical storm or hurricane watches or warnings are active on the U.S. coast or Gulf.

Informational only — not an official warning. Always confirm with the latest official forecasts from weather.gov, spc.noaa.gov, wpc.ncep.noaa.gov, and nhc.noaa.gov. Turn around, don’t drown.