Tag: Florida

  • Storm Updates: New Mexico Flood Moderate, Dakotas–Appalachians Marginal — Wednesday, September 23, 2026 (Morning)

    This is a live Wednesday morning snapshot of local storm-type events across the United States as of the morning of Wednesday, September 23, 2026. Overnight into this morning, the flood desk ran ahead of the severe desk: National Weather Service flash-flood warnings for El Paso County, Texas; Amelia, Cumberland, and Powhatan counties in central Virginia; and a receding western North Carolina pulse around Lake Lure / Bat Cave / Chimney Rock. Those overnight warnings are treated as expired or expiring into this morning. Today’s desks: Storm Prediction Center Marginal Risk for parts of the western Dakotas and the southern Appalachians; Weather Prediction Center Moderate Risk of excessive rainfall across portions of central and eastern New Mexico. No convective watches are currently valid.

    These are county- and ZIP-scale thunderstorms and flood pulses, not a U.S. mainland hurricane landfall. There is no named tropical cyclone threatening U.S. land in the current National Hurricane Center picture. Restoration exposure today into tonight is water first in New Mexico and far west Texas, leftover street and creek flooding in central Virginia and the southern Appalachians, and isolated damaging gusts this afternoon if the two Marginal corridors heat. Conditions change fast. Verify with the National Weather Service for the specific county or ZIP before you roll.

    What is live this morning

    SPC’s 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (issued 7:26 a.m. CDT Wednesday, September 23, 2026; Smith/Mead; valid 231300Z–241200Z) places a Marginal Risk over parts of the western Dakotas and the southern Appalachians. Summary: isolated severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon across those two corridors. Western Dakotas: mid-level trough moving out of Wyoming/Montana, lee trough, moisture plume off the High Plains, around 1,000 J/kg MLCAPE, isolated marginally severe hail or gusts through early evening. Southern Appalachians: mid-level vorticity maximum sliding southeast from the lower Ohio Valley; dewpoints in the 60s °F; 250–750 J/kg MLCAPE if heating wins against low cloud; strong to locally damaging gusts with the stronger cells. Hail probabilities were removed after the 12 UTC Nashville sounding showed poor 700–500 mb lapse rates (4.8 °C/km).

    No convective watches were currently valid as of the SPC watches page update at 09:44:06 UTC Wednesday, September 23, 2026. Most recent watch on the board: 0674. Check spc.noaa.gov/products/watch before you stage.

    WPC’s Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook (updated 0832 UTC Wednesday, September 23, 2026; Chenard; valid 12Z Wed–12Z Thu) holds a Moderate Risk across portions of central and eastern New Mexico. Scattered to numerous flash floods are expected; locally significant and life-threatening impacts remain possible on sensitive terrain, urban drainage, and burn scars. A widespread 1–2 inches is generally expected, with localized 2–4 inch swaths likely on top of rain that already fell before 12Z. The Slight risk extends into southeast Arizona and a slice of far west Texas if storms propagate east. Separate flood desks: Slight over portions of eastern Kentucky, eastern Tennessee, and far western North Carolina; Marginal from Ohio into West Virginia and western Virginia/North Carolina; Marginal over south Florida.

    Hotspot 1 — Central and eastern New Mexico / far west Texas

    Today’s Moderate flood desk and the national headline. A well-defined mid-level shortwave lifts north-northeast across New Mexico with robust upper divergence and the chance of a weak surface low. Cloud cover is the limiter; daytime heating on the eastern edge of the rain shield plus easterly upslope should still support training cells in deep southerly flow. HREF/REFS neighborhood probabilities of more than 3 inches run 40–70% across the eastern half of the Moderate area. Overnight El Paso County already took radar-indicated 0.5–1.5 inch bursts and flash-flood warnings that expired before dawn.

    Restoration read: water first. Stage pumps and air movers before the afternoon/evening cores organize. Burn-scar runoff and arroyos fail first. Start extraction the same night if water is inside. Turn around, don’t drown — most flood deaths are in vehicles.

    Hotspot 2 — Southern Appalachians / eastern Tennessee

    Dual desk: SPC Marginal for isolated damaging gusts, WPC Slight for flash flood on wet ground from eastern Kentucky through eastern Tennessee into far western North Carolina. Extensive low cloud this morning is the uncertainty. If breaks allow 250–750 J/kg MLCAPE, multicells along the inverted trough can put down strong gusts around peak heating. HREF/REFS neighborhood flash-flood-guidance exceedance peaks over eastern Tennessee (above 40% in spots). Overnight, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg held a flash-flood warning into 5:45 a.m. EDT for southeastern Buncombe, northeastern Henderson, southwestern McDowell, northwestern Polk, and northwestern Rutherford counties — 2.5–4 inches already down, waters receding by 3:05 a.m. EDT, Rocky Broad near Bat Cave falling through 6.58 feet.

    Restoration read: leftover water plus a second-chance afternoon pulse. Do not treat receding creeks as closed. Stage extractors in eastern Tennessee and western North Carolina; tree and tarp crews only if the gusty cells actually fire.

    Hotspot 3 — Western Dakotas

    New SPC Marginal added on the 1300 UTC outlook. Mid-level trough crossing Wyoming/Montana reaches the western Dakotas late afternoon and deamplifies toward the Red River Valley by Thursday morning. Lee trough holds a moisture plume north from the central High Plains. Widely scattered storms near the Black Hills and lee trough this afternoon; isolated marginally severe hail or gusts through early evening. No major population centers sit inside the 5% hail contour.

    Restoration read: isolated wind and hail, not a regional outbreak. Stage only if you already work the Black Hills / western Dakota corridor. Do not pull crews off the New Mexico water desk for this.

    Just hit

    Overnight flood, not overnight severe. NWS El Paso/Santa Teresa issued flash-flood warnings for northwestern and central El Paso County into the small hours (radar 0.5–1.5 inches, additional 0.5–1 inch possible; warnings through 3:15 a.m. MDT). Otero Mesa / northwest of Dell City had 2.5–3 inches radar-estimated earlier in the night with rural-road flooding held off Dell City by retention dams. NWS Wakefield: up to 4 inches since 11 p.m. in northwestern Amelia County and up to 5.5 inches since 10 p.m. in western Powhatan County; warnings through 4:00–5:30 a.m. EDT. Western North Carolina pulse receding after 2.5–4 inches.

    SPC local storm reports for the 22/1200Z–23/1159Z window carried no tornado and no hail. Wind reports from late Tuesday afternoon remain on the board for Lauderdale County, Alabama (Lexington / Rogersville): power lines down, a brush fire, and a power pole/lines on a vehicle — already noted on yesterday’s afternoon Tygart Media desk. Do not invent additional LSR points.

    Pulse table

    RegionMain threatsSPC / WPC / NWS levelStatus this morning
    Central / eastern NM and far west TXFlash flood, training storms, burn-scar runoffWPC ModerateLive flood desk today–Thu 12Z
    Southeast AZLocalized flash floodWPC SlightToday
    Eastern KY / eastern TN / far western NCFlash flood + isolated damaging gustsWPC Slight + SPC MarginalAfternoon–evening
    Western Dakotas / Black HillsIsolated hail / gustsSPC MarginalLate afternoon–early evening
    OH into WV / western VA–NCLocalized flash flood on wet soilsWPC MarginalToday
    South FloridaUrban flash floodWPC MarginalLocal
    El Paso / central VA / WNC overnightFlash flood (expired/expiring FFWs)Overnight NWS warningsAftermath / receding
    U.S. mainland tropicsNo landfalling named cycloneNHC quiet for CONUS landQuiet

    What this means for restoration teams

    New Mexico and far west Texas remain water jobs if the Moderate risk verifies — extraction, drying, and a 24–48 hour mold clock. Central Virginia and western North Carolina are aftermath from last night plus a second-chance flood axis this afternoon in eastern Tennessee. The Dakotas Marginal is isolated. Do not treat receding overnight warnings as a closed book; soils are primed. Stage before the New Mexico afternoon cores. Start extraction the same night if water is inside. Turn around, don’t drown.

    What this is not

    This is not a regional derecho and not a U.S. mainland hurricane landfall. There are no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin at this hour. Hurricane Polo (Category 4, off southwest Mexico) and Hurricane Odalys (eastern Pacific, well west of Baja) are not CONUS land threats today. Tropical Depression Fifteen-E is a Central Pacific system near Hawaii, not a mainland U.S. landfall. Today’s work, if it verifies, is scattered: New Mexico flash flood, leftover Mid-Atlantic and Appalachian water, isolated Dakotas hail/wind, isolated southern Appalachian gusts.

    Looking ahead

    SPC Day 2 (Thursday) and Day 3 currently show no severe thunderstorm areas. That does not cancel today’s New Mexico flood problem or this afternoon’s two Marginal corridors. Day 4–8 language is only a possible localized Plains/Mid-Mississippi threat next Monday–Wednesday with weak shear — too unclear for probabilities. Watch the next Storm Tracker update rather than assuming the Moderate rainfall risk is the last line of the week.

    Sources and how to verify

    Primary sources: SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook issued 7:26 a.m. CDT Wednesday, September 23, 2026 (Smith/Mead); SPC watches page updated 09:44:06 UTC Wednesday, September 23, 2026; WPC Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook updated 0832 UTC Wednesday, September 23, 2026 (Chenard); NWS El Paso/Santa Teresa, Wakefield, and Greenville-Spartanburg flash-flood products overnight; SPC local storm reports (Lauderdale County, Alabama wind from Tuesday afternoon); NHC Atlantic discussion 1215 UTC Wednesday, September 23, 2026.

    Check weather.gov for the county warning, spc.noaa.gov for the outlook, watch, and local storm reports, and WPC excessive rainfall for the flood overlay. Prior desk: Storm Updates September 22, 2026 — New Mexico Flood Moderate, Utah–Southeast Marginal.

    Informational only — not an official weather warning. Follow local authorities and the National Weather Service. Turn around, don’t drown.

  • Storm Updates: New Mexico Flood Moderate, Utah–Southeast Marginal — Tuesday, September 22, 2026 (Morning)

    This is a live Tuesday morning snapshot of local storm-type events across the United States as of the morning of Tuesday, September 22, 2026. Overnight, the Appalachians–Southeast corridor carried the pulse — NWS Charleston, West Virginia flash-flood warnings for southern and north-central West Virginia into southwest Virginia. Those overnight warnings are treated as expired/expiring into this morning (no active WV flash-flood warnings on the NWS alert feed at hang time). Today’s desks: Storm Prediction Center Marginal Risk for much of Utah into adjacent Wyoming and Colorado, plus a portion of the Southeast; Weather Prediction Center Moderate Risk of excessive rainfall across portions of southern New Mexico. No convective watches are currently valid.

    These are county- and ZIP-scale thunderstorms and flood pulses, not a U.S. mainland hurricane landfall. There is no U.S. landfalling tropical cyclone in the current National Hurricane Center picture. Restoration exposure today into tonight is water first in southern New Mexico and far west Texas, wind and marginally severe hail this afternoon across the Utah corridor, leftover Appalachian water from Monday night, and locally severe gusts plus flood axes across parts of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic. Conditions change fast. Verify with the National Weather Service for the specific county or ZIP before you roll.

    What is live this morning

    SPC’s 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook (issued 7:22 a.m. CDT Tuesday, September 22, 2026; Smith/Mead; valid 221300Z–231200Z) places a Marginal Risk over much of Utah into adjacent Wyoming and Colorado, and across a portion of the Southeast. Summary: isolated severe wind gusts today in Utah into southwest Wyoming and western Colorado; thunderstorms capable of strong to locally severe damaging gusts also possible across parts of the Southeast. Outlook footprint ~196,000 square miles / ~24 million people. Larger Southeast centers in the risk area include Charlotte, Atlanta, Greensboro, Birmingham, and Montgomery.

    No convective watches were currently valid as of the SPC watches page update at 11:44:05 UTC Tuesday, September 22, 2026. Most recent watch on the board: 0674. Check spc.noaa.gov/products/watch before you stage.

    WPC’s Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook (updated 0809 UTC Tuesday, September 22, 2026; Chenard; valid 12Z Tue–12Z Wed) holds a Moderate Risk across portions of southern New Mexico, with flood watches from noon MDT today through Wednesday afternoon/evening for large parts of New Mexico and far west Texas (NWS Albuquerque and El Paso/Santa Teresa). WPC Slight axes: southeast Virginia into South Carolina, and West Virginia into southwest Virginia. South Florida: WPC Marginal for localized urban flash flood.

    Hotspot 1 — Southern New Mexico / far west Texas

    Today’s Moderate flood desk. Multi-day heavy rain starts today under an upper trough, jet right-entrance dynamics, deep southerly tropical moisture, and precipitable water toward mid/late September record levels. Daytime favors scattered storms; overnight trends toward a more concentrated rain shield with heavier cores over southern New Mexico. Ensemble neighborhood guidance: 40–70% chance of more than 3 inches across New Mexico today; 2–4 inch max footprint through early Wednesday. Scattered to numerous flash floods expected, some locally significant, including Sacramento Mountains burn scars.

    Restoration read: water first. Stage pumps and air movers before the overnight shield organizes. Burn-scar runoff and low water crossings fail first. Start extraction the same night if water is inside.

    Hotspot 2 — Utah into southwest Wyoming and western Colorado

    SPC Marginal wind-and-hail corridor. Mid-level trough over the western Great Basin moves northeast across Utah through early evening. After early showers, heating steepens 0–2 km lapse rates; elongated hodographs support a few stronger cells with marginally severe hail. Isolated 60–75 mph gusts are the primary hazard. Activity can later spill into western Colorado and southwest Wyoming late afternoon into early evening.

    Restoration read: wind and isolated hail. Stage tarps, generators, and tree crews before late afternoon. Soft-metal roofs and skylights after stronger cells only if it is safe.

    Hotspot 3 — Southeast / southern Appalachians, plus Mid-Atlantic flood axes

    SPC Marginal for the Southeast focuses on a slow-moving cold front from the Deep South into the southern Appalachians. Dewpoints upper 60s–lower 70s °F; afternoon MLCAPE about 1,500–2,500 J/kg. Weak shear; water-loaded downdrafts can produce locally severe gusts into early evening.

    WPC Slight flood axes: southeast Virginia into South Carolina (coastal convergence + backdoor front; neighborhood high for 3 inches, localized 5 inches possible) and West Virginia into southwest Virginia (wetter soils, lower flash-flood guidance, inverted trough). Farther north Mid-Atlantic: more stratiform 1–2 inches. South Florida WPC Marginal is a local urban-flood desk, not the national headline.

    Restoration read: gusty wind and street flooding can share the same ZIP. Charlotte, Atlanta, Greensboro, Birmingham, and Montgomery sit inside the broader Southeast convective risk — local pulse desks, not a regional derecho.

    Just hit

    Monday afternoon into overnight, the Appalachians–Southeast carried the live severe and flash-flood pulse (already on yesterday’s afternoon Tygart Media desk). Overnight NWS Charleston, West Virginia flash-flood warnings covered southern West Virginia / southwest Virginia (Welch, Pineville, Davy, McDowell, Wyoming, Buchanan; 1–3 inches radar-indicated) and north-central West Virginia along Buckhannon–Burnsville–Century / I-79 (1–3 inches). Those overnight warnings are treated as expired or expiring into this morning. No clean parsed SPC LSR list in this pass — do not invent points.

    Pulse table

    RegionMain threatsSPC / WPC / NWS levelStatus this morning
    Southern NM / far west TXFlash flood, multi-day heavy rain, burn-scar runoffWPC Moderate + flood watchesLive flood desk today–Wed
    Utah into SW WY / western COSevere wind gusts, marginally severe hailSPC MarginalAfternoon–early evening
    Southeast / southern AppalachiansLocally severe damaging gustsSPC MarginalAfternoon–early evening
    SE VA into SC; WV into SW VAFlash flood / heavy rainWPC SlightToday into tonight
    South FloridaUrban flash flood, lightningWPC MarginalLocal
    Appalachians–Southeast overnightFlash flood (yesterday’s pulse)Overnight FFWs (expired/expiring)Aftermath / drying
    U.S. mainland tropicsNo landfalling tropical cycloneNHC quiet for mainlandQuiet

    What this means for restoration teams

    Southern New Mexico and far west Texas are water jobs if the Moderate risk verifies — extraction, drying, and a 24–48 hour mold clock. Utah’s Marginal corridor is wind and isolated hail. Southeast Marginal wind is local gusty warnings, not a derecho. Leftover Appalachian water from Monday night is aftermath. Stage before the overnight New Mexico rain shield; start extraction the same night if water is inside. Turn around, don’t drown.

    What this is not

    This is not a regional derecho and not a U.S. mainland hurricane landfall. Tropical Depression Fay is mid-Atlantic open ocean and becoming post-tropical — not a U.S. land threat. Hurricane Polo and Tropical Storm Odalys remain eastern Pacific systems and are not mainland landfall threats today. Today’s work, if it verifies, is scattered: southern New Mexico flash flood, Utah–Colorado wind/hail, Southeast gusts, leftover Appalachian water.

    Looking ahead

    SPC Day 2 and Day 3 currently show no severe thunderstorm areas. That does not cancel tonight’s New Mexico flood problem or this afternoon’s Marginal corridors. Watch the next Storm Tracker update rather than assuming the Moderate rainfall risk is the last line of the week.

    Sources and how to verify

    Primary sources: SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook issued 7:22 a.m. CDT Tuesday, September 22, 2026 (Smith/Mead); SPC watches page updated 11:44:05 UTC Tuesday, September 22, 2026; WPC Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook updated 0809 UTC Tuesday, September 22, 2026 (Chenard); NWS Albuquerque and El Paso/Santa Teresa flood watches; overnight NWS Charleston, West Virginia flash-flood warnings; NHC advisories (Fay, Polo, Odalys).

    Check weather.gov for the county warning, spc.noaa.gov for the outlook, watch, and local storm reports, and WPC excessive rainfall for the flood overlay. Prior desk: Storm Updates September 21, 2026 — Appalachians–Southeast Marginal / Central Appalachians Flood Slight.

    Informational only — not an official weather warning. Follow local authorities and the National Weather Service. Turn around, don’t drown.

  • Storm Updates: Slight Risk in the Dakotas, Gulf Coast Wind Cells, Florida Flood Pulses — Monday, September 7, 2026

    Storm Updates: Slight Risk in the Dakotas, Gulf Coast Wind Cells, Florida Flood Pulses — Monday, September 7, 2026

    This is a live Labor Day Monday snapshot of local storm-type events across the United States as of the afternoon of Monday, September 7, 2026. These are county- and ZIP-scale thunderstorms — hail, damaging wind, and short-fuse heavy rain — not a landfalling tropical cyclone.

    There is no active Atlantic tropical cyclone threatening the U.S. mainland. The 2026 season has produced named tropical storms only; no hurricane has formed yet. The pulse today is convective: a Slight Risk of severe storms in the Dakotas, damaging-wind cells on the central Gulf Coast, and slow-moving heavy rain across Florida into coastal Georgia and South Carolina.

    National Weather Service CONUS radar mosaic showing current precipitation across the United States
    NWS CONUS radar mosaic. Public domain.

    These are the events that generate the restoration work crews actually see: wind-driven roof and siding failures, hail-pocked windows and vehicles, downed trees on service lines, and interior flooding from 2–3 inches in an hour on poorly drained streets. Conditions change fast. Verify with the National Weather Service for the specific county or ZIP before you roll.

    What is live this afternoon

    The Storm Prediction Center 2000 UTC Day 1 outlook holds a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms across parts of central North Dakota and southeast South Dakota into northeast Nebraska. The headline threat is large hail. A tornado or two is possible in southeast South Dakota. Isolated damaging wind is possible across a broader Marginal Risk from the northern and central Plains into the upper Mississippi Valley. Locally damaging wind gusts remain possible over the central Gulf Coast states.

    No convective watches are in effect as of this writing. Warnings are local Severe Thunderstorm Warnings and Special Weather Statements, plus flood advisories where storms stall.

    Hotspot 1 — Northern Plains: North Dakota, South Dakota, eastern Montana

    A shortwave coming off the northern Rockies is the organizer. SPC expects widely scattered severe storms capable of mainly large hail over northwest into central North Dakota and southeast South Dakota this afternoon into evening. Forecast soundings east of a sharpening dryline in central ND support supercell modes. Large hail is the primary restoration exposure. Isolated tornado risk is highest in southeast South Dakota.

    Official Local Storm Reports already on the board today include 62 mph near Midland, South Dakota; 73 mph west-southwest of Fort Pierre; 59 mph near Forestgrove, Montana; and 63 mph near Winnett, Montana. Overnight and early-morning reports from eastern Montana included estimated 2-inch hail near Shepherd in Yellowstone County, with broken windows and siding damage from wind-driven hail.

    Recent Severe Thunderstorm Warnings from NWS Glasgow have covered Garfield, McCone, Prairie, and Petroleum counties in northeastern Montana for radar-indicated 60 mph gusts. Weather Prediction Center Day 1 also carries a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall for a portion of northwestern Montana.

    Restoration read: hail and wind first. Check roofs, skylights, west- and south-facing windows, and vehicle lots. Trees and service drops follow the 60-plus mph cores.

    Hotspot 2 — Central Gulf Coast: Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Florida Panhandle, far southeast Texas

    Hot, very moist air with MLCAPE in the 2500–3500 J/kg range is supporting scattered afternoon and evening storms. Shear is weak, so this is not a supercell outbreak. The threat is intense downdrafts and slow storm motion. WPC added a Marginal Risk of excessive rainfall from far southeastern Texas into southwestern Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle. Rainfall rates of 2–3 inches in an hour are possible where cells stall near the Texas–Louisiana border.

    Active and recent Severe Thunderstorm Warnings this afternoon have included St. Helena, Livingston, Tangipahoa, and West/East Feliciana parishes in southeast Louisiana (near Hammond, Natalbany, Zachary, Slaughter) and south-central Alabama into northwest Florida (Escambia, Santa Rosa, Conecuh — Brewton, Flomaton, Evergreen, Pollard). Hazard language has been 60 mph gusts and penny-size hail.

    Yesterday’s LSRs already showed the damage type: trees and power lines down near Philadelphia and Greenville, Mississippi, including a microburst with building damage in the Greenville area.

    Restoration read: wind and water, not a hurricane surge. Urban flooding and tree-on-roof jobs in the same zip codes as the warning polygons.

    Hotspot 3 — Florida and the coastal Southeast

    Southeast Florida has been firing strong storms through Labor Day afternoon. NWS and local offices have carried a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for southeastern Martin County with radar-indicated 60 mph gusts and penny hail, plus a Flood Advisory in east-central Palm Beach County after 2–3 inches of rain. Steering is weak; cells can dump on the same neighborhoods twice.

    Northeast Florida into coastal Georgia and southern South Carolina sits under an above-average precipitable-water axis. NWS Jacksonville has been issuing Special Weather Statements for Baker, Columbia, Alachua, Suwannee, and adjacent Georgia counties with 40 mph gusts. WPC notes high neighborhood probabilities for 2- and 3-inch rainfall totals along that coastal moisture axis.

    Restoration read: interior water and urban flooding first, then wind to trees and fascia. Metro Broward/Miami-Dade and the I-10 / I-75 corridors in north Florida are the places to watch hour by hour.

    Pulse table

    RegionMain threatsSPC / WPC levelStatus this afternoon
    Central ND / SE SD / NE NELarge hail, damaging wind, isolated tornadoSlightDeveloping afternoon–evening
    Eastern MT / northern PlainsDamaging wind, hailMarginal + local SVR warningsActive
    Gulf Coast LA–AL–FL PanhandleDamaging wind, flash flood pulsesMarginal + local SVR warningsActive
    SE / NE Florida + coastal GA/SCHeavy rain, gusty wind, urban floodingLocal severe / flood advisoriesActive
    Atlantic tropics vs. U.S. coastNoneNo tropical cycloneQuiet

    What this is not

    This is not a regional derecho and not a hurricane landfall. No watches are up. The work, if it comes, will be scattered: a hail swath through a Dakota county, a microburst block in Louisiana or Alabama, a flooded intersection in Palm Beach or Jacksonville. That is the local-storm pattern restoration desks should staff for tonight.

    Sources and how to verify

    Primary sources: NOAA Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Convective Outlook issued 0259 PM CDT Monday, September 7, 2026; SPC today’s storm reports; Weather Prediction Center Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook; National Hurricane Center Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook (no tropical cyclone formation expected in the next 7 days); and active NWS warning text from Glasgow MT, New Orleans LA, Mobile AL, Jacksonville FL, and West Palm Beach-area offices.

    Check weather.gov for the county warning, spc.noaa.gov for the outlook and LSRs, and local radar before you treat any polygon as a job ticket. This desk will update when the evening reports close.