Storm Updates: Quiet Pulse — Oct 30 Morning

As of the morning desk on Friday, October 30, 2026 (approximately 9:15 PM PDT October 29 / 04:15 UTC October 30), the national picture remains a Quiet Pulse. SPC Day 1 (0100 UTC update issued 0728 PM CDT October 29, valid 300100Z–301200Z) holds a Marginal Risk of severe thunderstorms across parts of central and northeast Kansas and locally in southwest Texas. WPC Day 1 ERO (special update 0132 UTC October 30) includes a Slight Risk for portions of west and central Texas and southeastern New Mexico. No tropical storm or hurricane watch or warning is in effect on the U.S. coast or Gulf.

Tropical: None · Severe: Marginal · Flood: Slight

What Changed

• Compared with the previous desk pulse table (quiet-pulse-2026-10-29-afternoon: Tropical: None · Severe: Marginal · Flood: Slight): SPC Day 1 Marginal Risk holds for central and northeast Kansas (~19,351 sq mi, ~592,000 people including Topeka, Salina, Manhattan) for isolated hail, and locally in southwest Texas for a possible brief tornado earlier. No convective watches currently valid. No Local Storm Reports received yet for October 29.
• WPC Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook maintains a Slight Risk for west and central Texas and southeastern New Mexico from remnants of Vance moisture. Marginal Risk near the MO/KS/IA/NE border. Flood lane remains Slight.
• No named tropical cyclone threatens U.S. land. Atlantic quiet. Remnants of Vance (final advisory, no well-defined center) pose no U.S. land threat; moisture spreading into the south-central and southwestern United States. No coastal or Gulf watches or warnings.
• Residual Flood Warnings continue (St. Johns River in Florida; portions of New Mexico), plus localized Flash Flood Warnings and Flood Watches in the Southwest and Winter Storm Warnings in Alaska. Lanes unchanged.
• Severe lane holds at Marginal. Flood lane remains Slight. Quiet Pulse criteria hold. Day 2 shows Marginal Risk for southern and central Arizona on Friday.

Live Status

SPC Day 1 lists a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) across parts of central and northeast Kansas (isolated hail near a stalled front with MLCAPE ~2000 J/kg) and locally southwest Texas (brief tornado possible earlier with low-topped cells). No current watches. No LSRs received yet.

WPC Day 1 ERO places a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall for west and central Texas and southeastern New Mexico (hourly amounts to 2″, local totals to 5″ near the border possible from training). Marginal near the KS/MO/IA/NE junction. Driven by elevated PWATs (1.5–2″) from Vance remnants through Friday morning.

NWS residual Flood Warnings on river systems and localized coastal flood advisories continue, along with Flash Flood Warnings and Flood Watches in Arizona, New Mexico, Texas, and Hawaii, plus Alaska winter and high wind products.

Hotspots

• West and central Texas / southeastern New Mexico: Slight Risk excessive rainfall this evening into Friday morning. Flash flooding possible from training storms. Dominant flood lane.
• Central and northeast Kansas: Isolated hail threat this evening. Primary short-term severe focus. No reports yet.
• Residual river flooding: Ongoing Flood Warnings on the St. Johns River (Florida) and portions of New Mexico.

Pulse Table

Restoration Read

Quiet Pulse with elevated flood lane. Primary ticket is flash flooding and runoff in west/central Texas and southeastern New Mexico under the Slight Risk, plus isolated hail in central/northeast Kansas. Limited brief tornado possibility earlier in southwest Texas. Ongoing residual river flooding in Florida and New Mexico. No organized widespread damage expected. Monitor for water intrusion and road closures. Turn around, don’t drown.

What This Is Not

This is a Quiet Pulse. No SPC Slight or higher severe risk. No WPC Moderate or higher excessive rainfall. No tropical storm or hurricane watch or warning on the U.S. coast or Gulf. Summarizes public products from SPC, WPC, NWS, and NHC.

Looking Ahead

SPC Day 2 Marginal Risk for southern and central Arizona Friday (isolated damaging winds and hail). Day 3 no severe. WPC Slight continues into early Friday. Halloween weekend unsettled with possible rain across the Plains; no elevated lanes open beyond current products.

Rising Queries

• flood watch
• Texas flood
• Kansas storms
• flash flood

Sources

• Storm Prediction Center (Day 1 Outlook 0100Z Oct 30 issued 0728 PM CDT Oct 29; Day 2 1730Z)
• Weather Prediction Center (Day 1 ERO special update 0132 UTC Oct 30, Slight Risk TX/NM)
• National Weather Service (watches, warnings, residual Flood Warnings)
• National Hurricane Center (Atlantic quiet; remnants of Vance)
• Previous desk: quiet-pulse-2026-10-29-afternoon

Informational only — not an official weather warning. Always check weather.gov for local forecasts and warnings. Turn around, don’t drown.