Storm Updates: Quiet Pulse — Nov 5

Tropical: None · Severe: None · Flood: Quiet

What Changed

• Compared with this morning’s pulse table (quiet-pulse-2026-11-05-morning: Tropical: None · Severe: Marginal · Flood: Marginal) and the prior version of this afternoon desk: SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook (2000 UTC November 5, issued 0152 PM CST November 5 by Halbert, valid 052000Z–061200Z) continues “NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST.” Severe storms are unlikely today and tonight. Prior Marginal Risk across portions of the Southeast remains closed. No convective watches or mesoscale discussions valid.
• WPC Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook (updated 1608 UTC November 5 by Putnam, valid 16 UTC Nov 05–12 UTC Nov 06) continues to show the probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance less than 5 percent nationally. Prior Marginal areas over Southeast Florida, the Southern Appalachians, and Southeast Colorado remain closed. No Moderate or higher.
• National Weather Service Flash Flood Warning for Fannin, Gilmer, northwestern Union, and Murray Counties in north-central Georgia remains expired. No active flash flood warnings of note on the CONUS severe or flood lanes. A Flood Watch is in effect for parts of Massachusetts and Rhode Island.
• No tropical storm or hurricane watch or warning on the U.S. coast or Gulf. NHC confirms no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, or Gulf. A non-tropical low a few hundred miles south of Bermuda holds a low (30%) chance through 48 hours and medium (~50%) through 7 days of acquiring subtropical characteristics while moving slowly eastward; no U.S. land threat.
• Nothing moved into Slight or higher on SPC or Moderate or higher on WPC ERO since the prior afternoon update. Quiet Pulse criteria hold. Isolated wind reports (trees/wires down) noted in parts of Pennsylvania and Maryland with the front, but no severe probabilities drawn.

Live Status

As of the afternoon desk on Thursday, November 5, 2026 (approximately 4:23 PM PST / 00:23 UTC November 6), the national picture remains a Quiet Pulse. The Storm Prediction Center’s latest Day 1 Convective Outlook states: “NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST.” Isolated thunderstorms remain possible this evening and overnight from the Mid-Atlantic into southern New England and the Carolinas ahead of a weak front, and scattered elevated storms over parts of southern Kansas and northern Oklahoma, but nocturnal cooling and weak buoyancy preclude any severe probabilities. No organized severe threat is forecast. No mesoscale discussions in effect.

WPC Day 1 holds no excessive rainfall risk areas. The overnight Flash Flood Warning in north Georgia has expired. Residual runoff or minor urban ponding is possible where earlier heavy rain fell, but no widespread flash flood threat remains on Day 1. No tropical component.

Hotspots

Mid-Atlantic into southern New England and Carolinas: Isolated thunderstorms possible this evening into overnight along and ahead of the front. Fast-moving cells under strong winds aloft, but limited surface-based threat after dark. Occasional gusty winds possible (local reports of trees and wires down in PA/MD); no severe area. Flood Watch active for portions of MA/RI.

Southern Kansas / northern Oklahoma: Scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms under a mid-level shortwave and cold mid-level temperatures. Elevated nature limits surface severe potential. No risk area.

North-central Georgia residual: Prior Flash Flood Warning expired. Ocoee River and surrounding terrain saw heavy overnight rain; monitor for lingering high water on roads and small streams. No active warning.

Just Hit

Overnight into early Thursday: Flash Flood Warning and localized flooding in north-central Georgia (Fannin, Gilmer, Union, Murray Counties) from thunderstorms producing 1–2 inches per hour. Some reports of high water and impacts along the Georgia-Tennessee line. Activity has ended; warning expired. Local wind reports (trees, wires) in the Mid-Atlantic with the frontal passage.

Pulse Table

Rising Queries

Residual interest tracks “severe thunderstorm warning,” “weather philadelphia,” “dc weather,” “Georgia weather,” and “East Coast rain.” No major new storm-specific spikes on available Trends data for the quiet pulse.

Restoration Read

Quiet Pulse. Primary residual ticket is minor water intrusion or high water on roads from the expired north Georgia Flash Flood Warning and earlier Southeast rainfall, plus isolated tree/wire work from frontal winds in the Mid-Atlantic. No organized severe damage expected. No tropical component. Monitor local NWS for any lingering advisories. Turn around, don’t drown.

What This Is Not

This is a Quiet Pulse. No SPC Slight or higher severe risk on the latest Day 1 outlook. No WPC Moderate or higher excessive rainfall on Day 1. No tropical storm or hurricane watch or warning on the U.S. coast or Gulf. This desk summarizes public products from the SPC, WPC, NWS, and NHC.

Looking Ahead

Day 2 WPC Excessive Rainfall Outlook carries a Slight Risk across parts of southeastern New England (Rhode Island into southeastern Massachusetts). Rain continues from the Northeast to the Southeast into Friday. No severe areas expected on Day 1. Monitor for potential flood concerns in New England overnight into Friday.

Sources

Official products: Storm Prediction Center (Day 1 Outlook 2000 UTC November 5), Weather Prediction Center (Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook and discussion ~322 PM EST November 5), National Weather Service (watches, warnings, and advisories), National Hurricane Center (Atlantic quiet). Previous desk: quiet-pulse-2026-11-05-morning.

Disclaimer: This is a summary of official public products from the Storm Prediction Center, Weather Prediction Center, National Weather Service, and National Hurricane Center. Always consult the latest official forecasts and warnings for your location. This desk does not issue warnings. Turn around, don’t drown.