What’s the headline number from the Madrona Group’s April 2026 Snohomish County housing report? Sales Activity Intensity came in at 54.9%, down only slightly from 56.0% the month before — meaning more than half of all listings still went pending within the first 30 days. Inventory tightened to 1.6 months. Mortgage rates moved up to 6.45%. Single-family resale prices held near $877,000 with homes selling at 99.8% of list price. The market did not slow down the way the inventory headlines suggested.
You probably read yesterday’s coverage of Snohomish County’s April housing market — the NWMLS data showing inventory up 51.8% year-over-year, the median sale price at $738,000, the 2.8 months of supply. That is one accurate way to read this market. Here is another, also accurate, with very different implications.
The Madrona Group dropped its April 2026 Snohomish County report this week, and it does not look like a market that lost its footing. It looks like a market that is moving slower at the top of the funnel — fewer homes coming on, fewer offers per listing, more buyer hesitation — but where the deals that do happen are happening fast and at strong prices.
The number we want to focus on is Sales Activity Intensity — and we are going to explain it because it is not a number that shows up in every market report and most readers have never seen it framed this way.
What Sales Activity Intensity actually measures
Sales Activity Intensity is the share of all active listings that go pending within the first 30 days on the market. Not closed — pending. Pending is the moment a buyer’s offer has been accepted and the deal is moving toward closing. It is the moment when the market said yes.
A 54.9% Sales Activity Intensity in Snohomish County for April 2026 means that more than one out of every two homes that listed last month had a buyer say yes within 30 days. That is a fast market. It is fast even after a small dip from March, when the same number was 56.0%.
For comparison, a market that is genuinely cooling — homes sitting, sellers cutting prices, buyers waiting — typically shows Sales Activity Intensity drop into the 30s or below. When intensity drops below 30%, sellers start to see real concessions show up at the closing table. That is not what we have right now.
What’s behind the number
Three factors are working at once in the April 2026 Madrona Group data, and none of them point in the same direction:
Mortgage rates moved up to 6.45%. That is up from earlier in the year and up enough to price some buyers out at the margin. Higher rates almost always slow demand. They have slowed it some — but they have not killed it.
Inventory tightened to 1.6 months. A balanced market in real estate is usually 4 to 6 months of inventory. At 1.6 months, Snohomish County is still well into seller’s-market territory. Note this is the Madrona Group’s specific measurement — the broader NWMLS data on the same county shows 2.8 months because the two reports use slightly different inventory definitions and time windows. Both are true. The Madrona number is the tighter view.
Single-family resale prices held near $877,000 with homes selling at 99.8% of list price on average. When buyers are paying within 0.2% of the asking price, they are not negotiating much. They are competing.
Put the three factors together: rates went up, but the homes that are listed are still moving fast and selling at almost full asking. The buyers who are still in the market have stopped flinching.
What this looks like on the ground in Everett
Everett sits inside the Snohomish County data but does not behave exactly like the county average. The city’s median sale price runs lower than the county figure — Redfin had Everett’s most recent typical home value near $620,000, well under the $738,000 county median that NWMLS reported. The reasons are familiar: more starter homes, more condos, more older housing stock, more variation between neighborhoods.
The Sales Activity Intensity dynamic still applies in Everett. A waterfront condo at Sawyer or Carling priced reasonably is going pending in days, not weeks. A starter home in Delta or Riverside priced at the neighborhood median is doing the same thing. What sits is what is overpriced. What sits is what assumes the market is still set to 2022.
We have seen this pattern in our own coverage — the April 2026 condo market story we published last week showed Snohomish County condo averages up 4.4% year-over-year and Everett condos selling in a 22-day median at 99% of list. That is the same fast-but-narrow market the Madrona report is describing, just on a different property type.
What this means for buyers right now
If you are buying in Snohomish County in May 2026 and you have been waiting for the market to break, the Madrona data is the latest signal that a wholesale break is not coming. Specific properties will be soft. Specific sellers will negotiate. But the broad market is still leaning seller.
A few practical takes from how this number sits:
- Stop waiting for the price to come down before you make an offer. At 54.9% Sales Activity Intensity, the home you are watching probably already has another offer. The price you saw on Zillow last Tuesday may not be the price that closes.
- Get rate-locked before you write an offer. With rates at 6.45% and trending up rather than down, the rate you can get this week is probably better than the rate you can get if you wait three weeks. A 0.25% rate move on a $620,000 Everett home is roughly $90 a month for the life of the loan.
- The 99.8% of list price number is the real number. If you are writing offers at 95% of list and watching them lose, that is why. The market is not built for 95% offers right now.
What this means for sellers right now
If you are selling in Snohomish County, the Madrona data is telling you something sellers sometimes miss: price-to-list discipline matters more than ever.
- Price it right and it goes pending in 30 days. Price it 5% high and it sits — and the market has been trained to read sitting as a problem. The 30-day window is the window where intensity captures your home as a fast mover. Past 30 days, you are competing with newer listings.
- The 99.8% of list price number cuts both ways. You probably will not get more than asking. You also will not have to take much less than asking. So price it where you are happy to close.
- Inventory is tight but moving up. The Madrona number says 1.6 months, the NWMLS number says 2.8 months — both are tighter than 4-6, but both are looser than 12 months ago. If you have been on the fence about listing, the supply side is finally giving you some company on the market. Earlier was easier. Now is still good.
How this fits with everything else we know about Snohomish County in April 2026
This week alone we have seen:
- The NWMLS report showing 51.8% year-over-year inventory growth and 2.8 months of supply
- The Madrona Group report showing 1.6 months supply and 54.9% Sales Activity Intensity
- Snohomish County condo data showing 4.4% YoY appreciation and 22-day Everett median time on market
- Mortgage rates moving up to 6.45%, the highest level since fall 2025
- The Sage Investment Econo Lodge studio-apartment conversion announcement in South Everett — 124 new units coming online by August 2026
None of those data points contradict each other. They are all measuring different parts of the same market. The market is more inventory than it had, fewer offers than it had, slower at the top of the funnel — and still selling fast and near asking when the property is priced right. That is a more complicated story than “the market is hot” or “the market is cooling.” It is the market being different things at the same time depending on which lens you bring.
The Madrona Group report adds a useful lens: the velocity at which deals close, not just the count of homes listed. That velocity number is what tells you whether the market still works. In April 2026, in Snohomish County, it still works.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Sales Activity Intensity in real estate?
Sales Activity Intensity is the percentage of all active listings that go pending — meaning a buyer’s offer has been accepted — within the first 30 days on the market. It is a velocity measure of how fast the average home is moving. Above 50% indicates a fast seller’s market; below 30% indicates real cooling.
What was Snohomish County’s Sales Activity Intensity in April 2026?
54.9%, according to the Madrona Group’s April 2026 Snohomish County housing market report. That is down slightly from 56.0% in March. Both numbers indicate a strong seller’s market.
What are mortgage rates in Snohomish County right now?
The 30-year fixed rate referenced in the April 2026 Madrona report is 6.45%. Rates have ticked up from earlier in the year. Individual rate quotes vary by lender, credit score, down payment, and loan size.
Why does the Madrona Group report say 1.6 months of inventory and the NWMLS report say 2.8 months?
They use slightly different inventory definitions and time windows. The Madrona Group’s measure tends to capture a tighter view focused on actively moving listings. NWMLS uses a broader inventory definition that includes some listings the Madrona view excludes. Both are accurate; both reflect a Snohomish County market still well below the 4-6 month range that defines balance.
What is the median home price in Snohomish County in April 2026?
The April 2026 NWMLS report listed the county median sale price at $738,000. The Madrona Group report references single-family resale prices holding near $877,000, which uses a different scope (single-family resale only, with different geographic weighting). The two numbers describe overlapping but not identical slices of the market.
Is now a good time to buy a home in Everett?
“Good” depends on your specific situation — your down payment, your job stability, your timeline, the neighborhood you’re targeting. What the April 2026 data says broadly: prices are not falling, inventory is up but still tight, and rates are higher than they were earlier in the year. Waiting for a wholesale price break is currently not what the data supports. Talk to a local agent and a local lender about your specific math.
Is now a good time to sell a home in Everett?
Yes, if it is priced right. The market data says homes priced at the neighborhood median are going pending within 30 days at 99.8% of list. Homes priced 5%+ above the neighborhood median sit. Pricing discipline is the difference between a fast sale and a long sit.
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